• Cryptocurrency
  • Earnings
  • Enterprise
  • About TechBooky
  • Submit Article
  • Advertise Here
  • Contact Us
TechBooky
  • African
  • AI
  • Metaverse
  • Gadgets
Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
  • African
  • AI
  • Metaverse
  • Gadgets
Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
TechBooky
Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
Home Artificial Intelligence

Donald Trump Will Win The Election Says AI System That Has Predicted The Last Three Elections Correctly

Paul Balo by Paul Balo
October 28, 2016
in Artificial Intelligence
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

An artificial intelligence (AI) system that has rightfully predicted the last three United States Presidential elections is now predicting that Donald Trump will eventually win the elections on November 8 and will ultimately take the oath of office on the 201th of January, 2017. Well if you’re a democrat, don’t frown at this, it’s the system that was developed by Sanjiv Rai who is the founder of Indian start-up Genic.ai that says so.

Created in 2004, MogIA collects user engagement data from Google, Twitter, Facebook and YouTube and uses this to predict who’ likely to win the race to the White House eventually. Another interesting thing that MogIA tell us is that Donald Trump’s engagement numbers has now overtaken the Barack Obama 200 numbers by 25 percent.

But this seem to contradict a lot of traditional and online polls that have come out recently which shows Hillary Clinton ahead. That said, even recent polls are showing Donald Trump eating well into Clinton’s lead and if you’re one of those rooting for Donald Trump, this may just cheer you up as the election day draws near.

Now the thing to know here is this, user engagement is a broad one and it all depends on how you choose to define it. So the ordinary data this system uses is mentions. How accurate are mentions. A mentions could well signal support or opposition depending on context. But speaking to CNBC, Rai said Just because somebody engages with a Trump tweet, it doesn’t mean that they support him. Also there are currently more people on social media than there were in the three previous presidential elections.

On the definition of user engagements, he continued by saying “If you look at the primaries, in the primaries, there were immense amount of negative conversations that happen with regards to Trump. However, when these conversations started picking up pace, in the final days, it meant a huge game opening for Trump and he won the Primaries with a good margin”. Going by this statement, it means even negative engagement could still mean a win for the republican who has been in the news lately for negative reasons and has continued to insist that if he loses, it would mean that somebody somewhere may have rigged the election; an allegation even republicans have come out to condemn.

But the big thing to learn from here is that even negative perception can be turned into positivity. Trump has been in the news over the past year for mostly negative stuff but that didn’t stop him from winning the primaries. It also means that with more reporting on Donald Trump, he has been able to advantage of the media (social or otherwise) coverage – good or bad to further an agenda.

On why this system seems to contradict other polls, Rai says he thinks it’s a wakeup call to Clinton to be complacent and that if she ends up winning the race, “it will defy the data trend for the first time in the last 12 years since Internet engagement began in full earnest”.

Artificial Intelligence systems rely on data and the more data available over time to them, the better they get which is why this system has been able to make better predictions over the course of the last three elections in the U.S. On why Donald Trump’s user engagement data seemed to be well above Barack Obama’s, it’s because there are way more people online today than 8 years ago.

Limitations

MogIA is not able to learn about the sentiment behind posts and like I said earlier, it’s all around mentions and mentions may not be enough to accurately predict a race that’s as close as this. In traditional polling, the caller is able to judge more accurately how a voter feels about a candidate and that result can be collected and used to form an opinion.

Opportunity

Having been successful at this for the past three elections, this system is capable of correctly predicting this one as well. While it may limited with respect to human sentiments, it boasts of a larger pool of data to sample. It is able to learn from its environment correctly to get better and this means, the more accurate systems like this become, the more traditional polling methods phase out.  

Related Posts:

  • file-20230301-2886-56r83n
    Google Launches The Nigeria Elections Trends Hub…
  • wordpress
    Filing Shows That Donald Trump Stepped Down As…
  • acastro_211101_1777_meta_0002-1068×559
    Meta Set To Reinstate Trump’s Facebook And Instagram…
  • perplexity-ai-bids-to-merge-with-tiktok-us-reports
    The Bid to Merge with Tiktok by Perplexity AI
  • INEC-1-jpg
    Nigeria's BVAS Failure Raises Concerns About…
  • 1_86agDT2mWDJt9L3med8JYA
    Fresh Bid for TikTok by Perplexity
  • toughbook
    Trump Media Merger Partner, DWAC Records 50%…
  • PC shipments Q2 IDC
    Donald Trump-owned Truth Social Gets Denied Entry On…

Discover more from TechBooky

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Tags: AIartificial intelligencebig datadonald trumpelection 2016facebookgooglegovernmenthillary clintonMogIApoliticstwitterunited statesyoutube
Paul Balo

Paul Balo

Paul Balo is the founder of TechBooky and a highly skilled wireless communications professional with a strong background in cloud computing, offering extensive experience in designing, implementing, and managing wireless communication systems.

BROWSE BY CATEGORIES

Select Category

    Receive top tech news directly in your inbox

    subscription from
    Loading

    Freshly Squeezed

    • Truecaller Filters Verified Business Messages May 12, 2025
    • ChatGPT Deep Research Now Links to GitHub Repos May 12, 2025
    • Microsoft Offers Guide to Fix Windows Blue Screen Errors May 12, 2025
    • We’ve Invested $10b in Nigeria so Far – MTN May 12, 2025
    • Tech Hype vs. Reality – When Big Tech Missed the Mark Pt. 3 May 11, 2025
    • Google’s Antitrust Showdown, AI vs. Search, and other Headlines May 11, 2025

    Browse Archives

    May 2025
    MTWTFSS
     1234
    567891011
    12131415161718
    19202122232425
    262728293031 
    « Apr    

    Popular Tags

    africa (135) AI (498) android (367) app (717) Apple (577) artificial intelligence (419) business (482) china (132) cryptocurrency (210) ecommerce (122) enterprise (287) facebook (507) fintech (244) funding (121) gadget (558) gaming (201) google (710) government (469) instagram (173) internet (467) ios (291) iphone (246) meta (116) microsoft (369) mobile (352) new feature (384) nigeria (440) privacy (158) research (140) samsung (185) security (421) smartphone (277) social media (836) software (509) startup (419) streaming (174) telecom (242) tips (372) twitter (289) united states (216) users (158) videos (127) website (173) whatsapp (201) youtube (138)

    Quick Links

    • About TechBooky
    • Advertise Here
    • Contact us
    • Submit Article
    • Privacy Policy

    About Us

    TechBooky

    TechBooky is a social Tech blog with a special focus on the budding African Technology sector. TechBooky is currently based in Abuja, Nigeria.

    Recent News

    Truecaller Filters Verified Business Messages

    Truecaller Filters Verified Business Messages

    May 12, 2025
    ChatGPT Deep Research Now Links to GitHub Repos

    ChatGPT Deep Research Now Links to GitHub Repos

    May 12, 2025
    Microsoft Offers Guide to Fix Windows Blue Screen Errors

    Microsoft Offers Guide to Fix Windows Blue Screen Errors

    May 12, 2025
    The NCC Commissioned MTNN To Lease Spectrums From NTEL And Renew Its 3G Spectrum

    We’ve Invested $10b in Nigeria so Far – MTN

    May 12, 2025
    Tech Hype vs. Reality – When Big Tech Missed the Mark Pt. 1

    Tech Hype vs. Reality – When Big Tech Missed the Mark Pt. 3

    May 11, 2025
    Google’s Antitrust Showdown, AI vs. Search, and other Headlines

    Google’s Antitrust Showdown, AI vs. Search, and other Headlines

    May 11, 2025
    • Login

    © 2021 Design By Tech Booky Elite

    Generic selectors
    Exact matches only
    Search in title
    Search in content
    Post Type Selectors
    • African
    • Artificial Intelligence
    • Gadgets
    • Metaverse
    • Tips
    • About TechBooky
    • Advertise Here
    • Submit Article
    • Contact us

    © 2021 Design By Tech Booky Elite

    Discover more from TechBooky

    Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

    Continue reading

    We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you are happy with it.Ok